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Collapse - How Societies Choose to Fail or Succeed, by Jared Diamond

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2.July.08 Permanent URL to this day's entry

Too Much Information Permalink to this item

To the extent that it "works" at all, war works with a strict chain of command, something that is an increasingly untidy fit with the democratic medium of the 'net. Not that the Pentagon hasn't enjoyed some successes, such as the "embedding" of reporters who are given ample reason to enthusiastically support their immediate protection. But when the shooting starts, some feet will get in the way, sooner or later. How do you put a positive spin on Abu Ghraib, or Guantánamo? The best that could be done for the former was to blame a few grunts (a cowardly and despicable lie, by the way). The latter has operated with an increasingly tight cone of silence, disturbed only by the Supreme Court of the United States' unwillingness to accept the Commander in Chief as Führer.

But information wants to be free, and some of the participants are navigating the bureaucracy to reveal glimpses of reality in occasionally arresting prose. One writer, LT G, crossed somebody's limit and had his milblog shut down, but not before he'd made some entries capturing the reality of the situation with remarkable precision.

The occupation will go on without it, I'm sure, "because higher said so."

1.July.08 Permanent URL to this day's entry

Plotting the States Permalink to this item

The boys at the Statistical Modeling, Causal Inference, and Social Science blog have graphed Annenberg pre-election survey results from 2000 to show the ranking of states by the liberalism/conservatism of their voters. They split that ideological assessment into "social" and "economic" dimensions.

Bill Harris thought of me and sent the link because he knows I'm way out in Idaho, at "upper right."

It was a different world during the 2000 primaries, but I imagine Idaho remains an outlier. The data show us not so far out socially as economically, however; we're "only" in 8th place in the former. Split out by party affiliation (or leaning), we see that our Dems are are pretty much in the middle of the pack, and our Republicans are not the furthest out... we just have more of them, apparently.

Privacy? Didn't we already give that up? Permalink to this item

Russ Feingold's not ready to roll over with retroactive immunity for telecomms and skipping over judicial review for our intelligence gathering. It makes me proud to see him carry on the progressive tradition in my home state. It's also interesting to consider how much better the same response to everyone works as a short video than as a form letter.

"I teased some of my colleagues and said we can celebrate the Constitution on July 4th and maybe when we come back you'll decide not to tear it up."

30.June.08 Permanent URL to this day's entry

We may be slow, but we're not stupid Permalink to this item

In this last bastion of red-state support for the miserable presidency of George W. Bush, Idaho's poll numbers have gone over the hump: 54% of 500 likely voters polled said they disapproved of the job President Bush is doing.

Goldilocks Planet Permalink to this item

It's been just a few short decades since we were able to step "outside," as it were, and look back upon the planet we inhabit, and to see how incredible it is that we should be sitting on a watery oasis in the empty vastness of space. There may be others, but time and distance make them more about speculation than observation. We thrill to know there's water on Mars, that perhaps it rained there, once upon a time. Maybe a moon of Saturn has a hint of conditions that could support life, if not life itself, or a remnant of it.

Sami, sleeping, healthy again Whatever there may be in the distant reaches of our galaxy or in the wider universe we can visit only in our imagination, the exploration of our own vast solar system makes one thing abundantly clear: there's no place like home.

Having been fruitful and multiplied, and having had some success with technology, we now confront the potential problem of fouling our nest, with no hospitable neighborhood for us to fledge to. Our home has been no stranger to cataclysm, "natural" and man-made, and it's a matter of what and when rather than whether for the next one. Will it be global climactic disruption triggered by anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions? Or something else? We dodged annihilation at our own hand through the near-madness of developing the means for "mutually assured" destruction last century. It remains to be seen whether such a balance can be maintained in a world populated by unbalanced actors, some of whom welcome their own death for "religious" (or, "insane") reasons, and by extension have no reason to fear wider destruction.

I'm thinking of how flammable things on the surface of our planet are, with our 21% oxygen atmosphere, as family news from California rolls in. The Shasta-Trinity complex, $9 million spent, more than 2,000 people in 18 fire crews, with 263 engines, 9 helicopters, 61 bulldozers, 75 square miles burned and only 10% contained. Our family's safe, the evacuation order lifted for their area, but the smoke still thick.

A little higher greenhouse gas concentration, a little hotter, a little dryer could be a lot worse. Seems like an experiment we might want to avoid if we can.

28.June.08 Permanent URL to this day's entry

Stimulating Circuitry Permalink to this item

Two interesting shows on NPR this week with Jill Bolte Taylor, more about what she learned about her brain from the experience of having a stroke and eight years of recovering from it: on on Fresh Air with Terry Gross and on Talk of the Nation Science Friday.

Not Available for Comment Permalink to this item

The footnote at the bottom of Brian Rich's take on the Senate race in Idaho made me think of that scene in The Wizard of Oz where the gatekeeper laughs off Dorothy and her friends' request to see the Great and Powerful Oz.

You want to talk to Jim Risch? How droll.

27.June.08 Permanent URL to this day's entry

More Fire in the Family Permalink to this item

California's a lot like paradise, except when the rain runs out, and it starts to burn. News from family in northern California is that they had to clear out, under a mandatory evacuation order yesterday. My brother writes:

"There is a large fire camp (fire fighters from the Forest Service and CDF, California Dept of Forestry) in Junction City... When we left yesterday afternoon smoke was very thick with lots of ash fallout but winds were relatively calm. Visibility was maybe a quarter to a half mile.

"Getting information is difficult. Most of northern California is blanketed with smoke, there are hundreds of fires, and personnel to deal with them are spread thin. Usually, the fire season doesn't get going until August. And rain here is very unusual between June and October–or at least September, if we're lucky. Although last summer it actually rained three or four times and there were no fires here. Fire is a natural part of the California ecosystem. I've heard that historically every five hundred years every square inch of California has burned. So now, humans have moved in, and of course we have houses, etc. Fire is not so convenient. Humans vs. nature. Wait - humans are part of nature..."

Voting Your Conscience Permalink to this item

I don't pretend to understand the inside baseball involved in Congressional votes, but I do know there's a lot more than just totalling up the "ayes" and "nays" to see if a bill has passed. There's the counting before the bill is even introduced, for example, the political calculations and recalculations for amendments and procedure, and eventually, some legislative sausage that might be tasty, or tainted. And then there will be the analysis and answering for the vote afterwards. Lawyers generally want to know the answer before they ask the question.

Who can vote aye? Who needs to vote nay? And which rare bird wants to make a principled stand for something?

If you're about to retire, you might have nothing left to answer for (but then again, you might be planning to cash your elected position with its modest 6-figure salary from something bigger, in the lobbying field).

I don't know whose ax Politico might be grinding, but the stories of retiring Republicans bucking their leadership are entertaining nonetheless.

raveling

Tom von Alten      tva_∂t_fortboise_⋅_org

ISSN 1534-0007

Wednesday, 02-Jul-2008 11:12:38 MDT
http://www.fortboise.org/blog/index.html